• COVID-19 Report As of Friday, April 17, 2020 GA DPH NOON
  • Consecutive day #1 of decreasing growth (14 needed)
  • Confirmed COVID-19 Cases: 17,194 (+826)
    • Daily Growth Rate: 4.8% (-4.5%)
    • Weekly Growth Rate: 5.9% (-0.6%)
    • % of Population Affected: 0.1641% (+0.0076)
  • Hospitalized: 3,324 (+64)
  • Deceased 650 (+33)
    • Morbidity Rate: 3.77% (+0.02%)
  • Estimated Numbers
    • Double Number of cases every 21 days (was 10)
    • Total Infected (Est.): 137,552 (+6,608)
    • Contagious, No Symptoms (Est.): 134,228 (+6,554)
    • Contagious Ratio (Est.): 13 in every 1,000 Georgians (+1) ✓
  • = getting better; = getting worse; ✓ = same

Yesterday almost every metric (above) was getting worse. Today, all of them are in the green (thanks to me figuring out how to change colors of special characters. I used the arrows and colors to show that even though numbers are increasing, they are going up more slowly than they were the day before. The best news is that the weekly growth had returned to its downward direction from the blip yesterday. Fig 1 (orange line). The other “good” news is that my estimate for today was only off by 27. That is only good news in that I’m getting my estimate sites dialed in. See Fig 1. The bad news is that the numbers are predicted to continue up through the end of the week.

Fig 1
Fig 2

Complaining about data (continued). So 338 people were admitted to the hospital yesterday, but only 33 today? Ten times the number? The increase in confirmed cases yesterday was over 1,300–the third biggest single-day increase of the entire pandemic? Then back to business as normal. It would seem that instead of having a Thursday from Hell, we might have had another case of the slow data reporting.

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