Today I’m writing about today’s numbers (Monday, March 23, 2020). After what can only be a bauble in the reporting over the weekend, we had the biggest one-day numerical increase to date of 165. The Georgia DPH notes that this increase is due to the increased efficiency of electronic reporting from private laboratories. But that follows a day with an unexpectedly (unbelievably) low numerical (and percentage) increase of 42. The rate of increase today is 27%–and that is also still lower than I would expect based upon the past growth of the virus. Better yet, no additional deaths were reported.

You can clearly see the unexpected change on 3/22/20 in the graph above. The predicted paths are in yellow, orange, and green.

For those who are counting, we are on Day 8 of V.P. Pence’s 15-day self-quarantine. We are on day 4 of 57 for Gov. Kemp’s 10-person activity limit recommendation.

Do The Five!
Unlike the weather report, here is a look at my predictions from March 23rd with the data from March 24th to compare it to. Looks like I was closer than expected.
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