Day 32: Is this Data Any Good?
COVID-19 Report As of Thursday, April 16, 2020 GA DPH 7PM Confirmed COVID-19 Cases: 16,368 (+1,381) ▲ Consecutive day #0 of decreasing growth (14 needed) ▲ Daily Growth Rate: 9.3% (+3.8%) ▲ Double Number of cases every 10 days ▲ Average Growth Rate (7-Days): 6.5% (+0.3%) ▲ % of Population Affected: 0.1565% (+0.0133) ▲ Estimated...
Day 31: Weekly Average Continues to Decline, but Numbers Continue to Climb
COVID-19 Report As of Wednesday, April 15, 2020 GA DPH Noon Confirmed COVID-19 Cases: 14,987 (+754) ▼ Consecutive day #1 of decreasing growth (14 needed) ▼ (NOTE: I made an error yesterday, and the number went up slightly then, not down, so yesterday this should have been 0 not 1.) Daily Growth Rate: 5.5% (-1.3%)...
Day 30: No Big Tuesday Bump, but Not Great
COVID-19 Report As of Tuesday, April 14, 2020 GA DPH Noon Confirmed COVID-19 Cases: 14,233 (+733) ▼ Consecutive day #1 of decreasing growth (14 needed) ▼ Daily Growth Rate: 6.8% (-0.4%) ▼ Double Number of cases every 15 days ▼ Average Growth Rate (7-Days): 7.0% (-2.1%) ▼ % of Population Affected: 0.1358% (+0.0087) ▲ Estimated...
Day 29: Easter’s Downward Trends Almost All Reversed Today
COVID-19 Report As of Monday, April 13, 2020 GA DPH Noon Total Confirmed: 13,315 (+863) ▲ Consecutive day 0 of lower # of increases (14 needed) ▲ Daily Growth Rate: 7.2% (double # of cases every 14 days) ▲ Average Weekly Growth Rate: 9.1% (-0.4%) ▼ Total Infected (Est.): 133,150 (+8,630) ▲ Contagious, No Symptoms...
Day 28: Happy Easter! (I will wait until Tuesday to feel good about the numbers today, but check out that daily rate of change!)
COVID-19 Report As of Sunday, April 12, 2020 GA DPH Noon Total Confirmed: 12,452 (+191) ▼ Consecutive day 2 of lower # of increases (14 needed) ▼ Daily Growth Rate: 1.4% (double # of cases every 71 days) ▼ Average Weekly Growth Rate: 9.5% (-0.4%) ▼ Total Infected (Est.): 124,520 (+1,910) ▼ Contagious, No Symptoms...
Day 27: Important Numbers Still Up; Daily Growth and Rate Down
COVID-19 Report As of Saturday, April 11, 2020 GA DPH Noon Total Confirmed: 12,261 (+778) ▼ Daily Growth Rate: 6.6% (double # of cases every 15 days) ▼ Average Weekly Growth Rate: 9.9% ✓ Total Infected (Est.): 122,610 (+7,780) ▲ Asymptomatic but Contagious (Est.): 98,088 (+8,383) ▲ Asymptomatic Ratio: 9 in every 1,000 Georgians ✓...
Day 26: Weekly Average Growth Rate Falls Below 10% but Numbers Up
As of Friday, April 10, 2020 GA DPH Noon Report Total Confirmed Cases: 11,482 (+917) Daily Growth Rate: 8.9% (double # of cases every 11 days) Estimated Total Infected: 114,830 Asymptomatic but Contagious: 89,705 (9 in every 1,000) Hospitalized: 2,351 (+156) Deceased 416 (+37) Morbidity Rate: 3.61% I decided to put a summary at the...
Day 25: Average Weekly Rate Continues to Fall while Total Over 10,000 and Increasing
I breathed a sigh of some relief today when the numbers showed a downward trend for the second day in a row (Fig 1, blue line) and the number of deaths was “only” 17 (Fig 1, red line). 178 more people are in the hospital since yesterday, but we still have the beds for them....
Day 23: Damn.
The last 24 hours have been rough for Georgia. 1,500 new confirmed cases and 100 deaths. Both of those are off-the-chart numbers for us for the whole pandemic. In Fig 1, below, you can see the spike in new COVID-19 cases (the blue line) and you can where the new total of 8,818 went above...
Day 22: Fooled by Weekend Slackers (Again), Apparent Rate Rises
Monday, April 6, 2020Day 22 of the COVID-19 Quarantine Well once again, the reporting over the weekend seems to take the weekend off with the number just being shoved onto Monday. I can REALLY see why other people crunching the numbers are averaging the weekly numbers for reporting to avoid what appears to be an...
Day 21: Topping the Curve?
Sunday April 5, 2020Day 20 of the President’s Stay-at-Home Quarantine First off, I want to give a shout out to the Almighty for a beautiful day today in North Georgia! If you were in a cabin in the woods without Internet or TV, you would think that the World was perfect today. No global warming...
Day 20: Late Post with a Good Downward Trend Continuing; Still 6 in 1,000 Georgians Contagious
I’m really getting tired of the MSM downplaying any good news and only playing up all the bad news. Even then they do mention any good news they put it in the middle of the story buried where it is likely to be missed. I’m writing this on Sunday, April 5, 2020, but the trend...